With uncertainties over oil supplies from the Gulf and Libya,
and the Nigerian oil industry constantly under threat from militant
criminal gangs, there's increasing interest in East African plays.
Italy's ENI and Texas-based Anadarko Petroleum recently found about
$US800 billion ($748bn) worth of gas off Mozambique. Last month, the
International Monetary Fund said Tanzania could become an important gas
producer by the end of the decade. We have also seen Brazil's Petrobras,
Britain's Heritage Oil and India's Motherland Industries enter the
Tanzanian oil and gas hunt.
There will, of course, be disappointments. Royal Dutch Shell is
writing off $US200 million after drilling a dry hole offshore from
Tanzania.
We should also caution that the West Africa story had its ups and
downs, with some investors no doubt remembering the disappointments
associated with the supposed Mauritanian bonanza.
Now there is an Australian entrant, with Jacka Resources (JKA) signing a production sharing agreement with Tanzania last week.
Among others exploring in the region are Pancontinental Oil & Gas
(PCL), which recently raised $15m for its Kenya projects, WHL Energy
(WHN), with 21,426sq km in the shallow waters around the Seychelles, and
FAR (FAR), in Kenya as part of its global spread.
It is a region to watch.
While on the subject of the oilies, StockAnalysis has drawn attention to variations in cost of debt being taken on.
It notes market darling Aurora Oil & Gas (AUT) is paying 9.875
per cent on its $200m facility, Linc Energy (LNC) is paying 11.4 per
cent and Antares Energy (AZZ), which is exploring in Texas, just 4.6 per
cent.
Will Wayne Swan tell AUT and LNC to shop around for better terms?
We think not: lenders rule.
Dudley returns
IT sure has been a week of blasts from the past. The latest was the re-emergence of Melbourne-based explorer Clarke Dudley.
In those seemingly distant days before Pure Speculation came into
existence, your correspondent followed Dudley's story at the then
Alcaston Mining, long before its 2006 transformation into Golden Rim
Resources (GMR), now exploring in West Africa and Sweden.
Dudley started grabbing land in Sweden prospective for diamonds in
the early 1990s, but by 2001 a new board led by Perth investor Rick
Crabb changed the direction of Alcaston.
Then Dudley and his allies tried unsuccessfully to wrest back control of the company.
Now, no doubt with wounds fully healed, Dudley is back with a new
float, Boadicea Resources (BOA when listed), suggesting in adopting the
name of the warrior queen who led a revolt against the Romans that he
has lost none of his fight.
He and his fellow ousted Alcaston directors contributed $2m in seed
money and are going to the market with gold projects near Cue, Leonora
and Norsemen.
BOA is seeking a minimum raise of just $800,000, mainly to get
spread, which is probably a modest enough sum to get over the line.
Wise, too, in view of market sentiment: of the 23 IPOs listed on the
ASX site, 16 are resources companies with "TBA" showing under listing
date.
Hillgrove back
ANOTHER reappearance, but of more recent vintage, is the Hillgrove antimony (and gold) mine.
Owned and mothballed by Straits Resources (SRQ), the operation was to
have been the core of a float by Ancoa, a company run by Greg Steemson,
formerly a founder of Sandfire Resources (SFR) and Allied Gold Mining
(ALD).
But the IPO could not get away and so Ancoa is being backed into Emu Nickel (EMU), which has been much in need of a reboot.
Steemson is going to run the show, which will take the Ancoa name.
The antimony price has lost ground in recent months from around $US15,000/tonne to less than $US12,500.
But the long-term story is intact, with the Chinese, the main
producer of the flame retardant, cracking down on their worst polluting
and energy-consuming mines.
In the meantime, the Ancoa crowd has been working on the marketing strategy.
It has been Steemson's plan to team with a US-owned antimony mine in Mexico to set up a supply chain in competition with China.
Strange beast
AND coming round the track for a second (or maybe third) time is Nowa
Nowa, an unusual beast in being an iron ore project in Victoria. It was
reported by the Victorian Geological Survey in 1901 and there were
thoughts then of processing it using the local brown coal. However, it
was not until 1955 that Victoria's mines department got around to
drilling.
Then there was another gap until Gulf Mines (GLM) began work in 2008,
but that eventually petered out. The project, east of Bairnsdale, is
being acquired by Eastern Iron (EFE), which has just reported an
inferred maiden resource based on the 50 holes drilled in the 1950s.
The company has declared Nowa Nowa its primary focus for early development and -- most importantly -- cashflow generation.
Good as gold
YOU could indeed make money out of resource stocks last year,
notwithstanding the experience of many. Local advisory Gresham
Investment House says of the top 150 resource stocks Guyana gold
explorer Azimuth Resources (AZH) had the best share appreciation last
year with a rise of 141.5 per cent. In second place came Rocklands
Richfield (RCI), up 106.5 per on the year, and then goldminer Northern
Star Resources (NST) with 101.3 per cent.
In fact, if you take an 18-month range -- as NST's profit
announcement last week helpfully pointed out -- the stock went from 5c
to $1 as at December 8.
But figures compiled by Citigroup for the first six weeks of the year
show the best performer since January 1 has been silver (up about 22
per cent), followed by zinc (yes, surprising), then copper and nickel.
On the silver front, no wonder Investigator Resources (IVR) saw its shares double over the week.

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